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Te Pae Christchurch Convention CentreAt riskIllustrative · demo data
Public Buildings · $240M budget · 72% complete · schedule forecast report
Real project names, invented forecasts - not actual NZTA figures.

Summary
Christchurch's central-city convention centre, a post-earthquake anchor project. Near-complete on paper, but thin contingency against live risk is pulling the finish out.
Status
At risk
Sector
Public Buildings
Budget (BAC)
$240M
Forecast (EAC)
$272M
Variance
+$32M
Progress
72% complete (month 34)
SPI
0.86
CPI
0.88
Baseline
42 months
Completion
47 / 51 / 57 mo
Late-finish risk
82%
Contingency
$3M
Risk exposure
$21M

Budget at Completion
$240M
Estimate at Completion
$272M
Schedule Performance Index
0.86
Cost Performance Index
0.88
72% complete on a cost basis at month 34. P50 completion 51 months (+9 against the 42-month baseline).
AI early warning
SPI 0.86 and CPI 0.88 are both eroding while remaining contingency ($3M) is dwarfed by live risk exposure ($21M, roughly 7x cover). The numbers say near-done; the risk position says the finish line is moving away. Schedule overrun is highly likely.
Generated from the project's earned-value position, contingency and risk register. The forecast is statistical; the AI explains it and flags where the narrative and the numbers disagree. Ask the assistant for the detail behind any figure.
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